PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA SERTA PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP INFLASI
Keywords:
Inflasi, Uang Beredar, Suku Bunga, Pengeluaran Pemerintah
Abstract
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh jumlah uang beredar, tingkat suku bunga dan pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap inflasi di Indonesia. Penelitian dilakukan dengan menggunakan alat analisis Regresi Linear Berganda. Pengujian hipotesis menggunakan Uji t dan Uji F digunakan untuk menentukan kelayakan model. Berdasarkan hasil analisis dengan uji F diperoleh nilai signifikan (0,010) <a (0.05) dan nilai Fhitung = 16.602 > Ftabel= 4,76 maka model regresi dapat digunakan untuk memprediksi Jumlah Uang Beredar, Tingkat Suku Bunga dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah Terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia. Pengujian hipotesis dengan uji t yaitu melihat pengaruh variabel independen secara parsial terhadap variabel dependen adalah pada variabel jumlah uang beredar(X1) dan hasil perhitungan diperoleh nilai signifikan 0.012 < 0.05, hal ini menunjukan bahwa variabel jumlah uang beredar berpengaruh terhadap inflasi (Y), pada variabel tingkat suku bunga (X2) dari hasil perhitungan diperoleh nilai signifikan 0.047 < 0.05, menunjukan bahwa variabel tingkat suku bunga berpengaruh terhadap inflasi (Y), sedangkan pada variabel pengeluaran pemerintah (X3) dari hasil perhitungan diperoleh nilai signifikan 0.014 < 0.05, menunjukan bahwa variabel pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh terhadap inflasi (Y).
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References
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Ghozali, Imam. 2004. Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate dengan Program SPSS. Badan Penerbitan Universitas Diponegoro. Semarang.
Gujarati.1993. Ekonometrika,MC. Graw-Hill Book Company, London.
Hanlon, M., Maydew, E. L., & Saavedra, D. (2017). The taxman cometh: Does tax uncertainty affect corporate cash holdings? Review of Accounting Studies, 22(3), 1198–1228. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-017-9398-y
Hasan, M. Iqbal. 2004.Analisis Data Penelitian Dengan Statistik. Bumi Aksara Jakarta.
Indriyani, S. (2016). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi Dan Suku Bunga Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia Tahun 2005 – 2015. Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Krisnadwipayana, 4(2). https://doi.org/10.35137/jmbk.v4i2.37
Kerim, M., Ellyawati, N., Reza, & Destari, D. (2022). Pengaruh Profitabilitas Dan Likuiditas Terhadap Return Saham Pada Pt Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Tahun 2013-2020. Jurnal Prospek : Pendidikan Ilmu Sosial Dan Ekonomi, 4(1), 45–52.
Kim, S. (2015). ppcor: An R Package for a Fast Calculation to Semi-partial Correlation Coefficients. Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods, 22(6), 665–674. https://doi.org/10.5351/csam.2015.22.6.665
Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2012). Forecasting inflation using dynamic model averaging. International Economic Review, 53(3), 867–886. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2012.00704.x
Mankiw, N. Gregory. 2003. Pengantar Ekonomi. Erlangga. Jakarta
Manurung, Rahardja.2004. Uang, Perbankan, dan, Ekonomi Moneter, Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta.
Mulyani, E. S., Sudarman, S., & Astuti, R. F. (2021). Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah (Pad) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi Kalimantan Timur Tahun 2001-2020. Educational Studies: Conference Series, 1(2), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.30872/escs.v1i2.894
Napitupulu, J. H., Ellyawati, N., & Astuti, R. F. (2021). Pengaruh Literasi Keuangan dan Sikap Keuangan Terhadap Perilaku Pengelolaan Keuangan Mahasiswa Kota Samarinda. Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi (JUPE), 9(3), 138–144. https://doi.org/10.26740/jupe.v9n3.p138-144
Nurjannah, Palangda, L., Siswanto, S. P., Abu, I., & Sutrisno. (2022). How Does Macroeconomic Variables Affect Human Development Index. Proceedings of the International Conference on Social, Economics, Business, and Education (ICSEBE 2021), 205(Icsebe 2021), 164–167. https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.220107.031Odajima, K., Aiba, D., & Khou, V. (2019). Currency Choice in Domestic Transactions by Cambodian Households : The Importance of Transaction Size and Network Externalities. 185.
Palley, T. I. (2014). Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory. Review of Political Economy, 27(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1080/09538259.2014.957466
Rahim, A. A., Ellyawati, N., & Rahayu, V. P. (2021). The Effect of Regional Original Income and Balanced Funds on Regional Expenditures in East Kalimantan Province. Educational Studies: Conference Series, 1(1), 71–76. https://doi.org/10.30872/escs.v1i1.857
Safitri, J., Suyanto, S., Taolin, M. L., & Prasilowati, S. L. (2020). Inclusion of Interest Rate Risk in Credit Risk on Bank Performance: Evidence in Indonesia. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi & Perpajakan (JRAP), 7(01), 13–26. https://doi.org/10.35838/jrap.v7i01.1472
Semuel, Hatane & Nurina, S. (2015). Analysis of the Effect of Inflation , Interest Rates , and Exchange Rates on Gross Domestic Product ( GDP ) in Indonesia. Proceedings of the International Conference on Global Business, Economics, Finance and Social Science, February, 20–22.
Sukirno, Sadono. 2006 Makro Ekonomi Teori Pengantar, Edisi ketiga, Raja Grafindo Persada, Jakarta.
Sultan, M., Sunardi, S., & Abu, I. (2021). Partisipasi Masyarakat Bulukumba Dalam Pembangunan Daerah Di Kalimantan Timur. Jurnal Sosialisasi: Jurnal Hasil Pemikiran, Penelitian Dan Pengembangan Keilmuan Sosiologi Pendidikan, 7(3), 61. https://doi.org/10.26858/sosialisasi.v0i3.19790Supranto J. 2000. Statistik Teori dan Aplikasi, edisi keenam. Erlangga, Jakarta.
Thompson, C. G., Kim, R. S., Aloe, A. M., & Becker, B. J. (2017). Extracting the Variance In flation Factor and Other Multicollinearity Diagnostics from Typical Regression Results. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 39(2), 81–90. https://doi.org/10.1080/01973533.2016.1277529
Ucak, H., Ozturk, I., & Aslan, A. (2014). An examination of Fisher effect for selected new EU member states. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 4(4), 956–959.
Umaru, A., & Zubairu, A. A. (2012). Effect of Inflation on the Growth and Development of the Nigerian Economy (An Empirical Analysis). International Journal of Business and Social Science, 3(10), 183. www.ijbssnet.com
Abu, I., & Ridwan. (2023). Analysis of Business Development Strategies as an Effort to Increase the Selling Value of Souvenirs Typical of Tanjung Bira Beach Bulukumba District. Indonesian Journal of Business and Entrepreneurship Research, 1(2), 72–84.
Abu, I., Subagio, N., & Sutrisno, S. (2021). The Leading Economic Sector in Samarinda. Educational Studies: Conference Series, 1(1), 97–101. https://doi.org/10.30872/escs.v1i1.865
Agusmianata, N., Militina, T., & Lestari, D. (2018). Pengaruh Jumlah Uang Beredar dan Tingkat Suku Bunga serta Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia. Forum Ekonomi, 19(2), 188. https://doi.org/10.29264/jfor.v19i2.2125
Akbar, D. A. (2012). Kausalitas Inflasi, Tingkat Suku Bunga, dan Jumlah Uang Beredar: A Case of Indonesia Economy Dinnul.
Akoglu, H. (2018). User’s guide to correlation coefficients. Turkish Journal of Emergency Medicine, 18(3), 91–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjem.2018.08.001
Arwin, Sutrisno, & Nurfitriani. (2023). Dampak Kenaikan Harga Bahan Bakar Minyak Terhadap Elastisitas Permintaan Sembako di Pasar Segiri Kota Samarinda. Journal of Business and Economics Research (JBE), 4(1), 109–114. https://doi.org/10.47065/jbe.v4i1.3012
Baffes, J., Kose, M. A., Ohnsorge, F., & Stocker, M. (2015). The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2624398
Bambang.1991. Statistik. BPFE. Yogyakarta
Bordo, M. D., & Levin, A. T. (2017). CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY AND THE FUTURE OF MONETARY POLICY. Jurnal Keperawatan. Universitas Muhammadya Malang, 4(1), 724–732. https://pesquisa.bvsalud.org/portal/resource/en/mdl-20203177951%0Ahttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0887-9%0Ahttp://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41562-020-0884-z%0Ahttps://doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2020.1758193%0Ahttp://sersc.org/journals/index.php/IJAST/article
Bordo, M. D., & Rockoff, H. (2013). The influence of irving fisher on milton friedman’s monetary economics. Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 35(2), 153–177. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1053837213000047
Brennan, J., & Jaworski, P. M. (2015). Markets without symbolic limits. Ethics, 125(4), 1053–1077. https://doi.org/10.1086/680907
Dormann, C. F., Elith, J., Bacher, S., Buchmann, C., Carl, G., Carré, G., Marquéz, J. R. G., Gruber, B., Lafourcade, B., Leitão, P. J., Münkemüller, T., Mcclean, C., Osborne, P. E., Reineking, B., Schröder, B., Skidmore, A. K., Zurell, D., & Lautenbach, S. (2013). Collinearity: A review of methods to deal with it and a simulation study evaluating their performance. Ecography, 36(1), 27–46. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07348.x
Enriko Tedja Sukmana, M.S.I. Rahmad Kurniawan, M. . (2021). TEORI FISKAL DAN MONETER DALAM ISLAM (Vol. 15, Issue 2).
Fauzi, A. (2010). Pemikiran M . Umer Chapra tentang Instrumen Kebijakan Moneter dan Peluang Implementasinya di Indonesia.
Gatawa, N. M., Abdulgafar, A., & Olarinde, M. O. (2017). Impact of Money Supply and Inflation on Economic Growth in Nigeria (1973-2013). IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance, 08(03), 26–37. https://doi.org/10.9790/5933-0803042637
Ghozali, Imam. 2004. Aplikasi Analisis Multivariate dengan Program SPSS. Badan Penerbitan Universitas Diponegoro. Semarang.
Gujarati.1993. Ekonometrika,MC. Graw-Hill Book Company, London.
Hanlon, M., Maydew, E. L., & Saavedra, D. (2017). The taxman cometh: Does tax uncertainty affect corporate cash holdings? Review of Accounting Studies, 22(3), 1198–1228. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-017-9398-y
Hasan, M. Iqbal. 2004.Analisis Data Penelitian Dengan Statistik. Bumi Aksara Jakarta.
Indriyani, S. (2016). Analisis Pengaruh Inflasi Dan Suku Bunga Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia Tahun 2005 – 2015. Jurnal Manajemen Bisnis Krisnadwipayana, 4(2). https://doi.org/10.35137/jmbk.v4i2.37
Kerim, M., Ellyawati, N., Reza, & Destari, D. (2022). Pengaruh Profitabilitas Dan Likuiditas Terhadap Return Saham Pada Pt Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) Tahun 2013-2020. Jurnal Prospek : Pendidikan Ilmu Sosial Dan Ekonomi, 4(1), 45–52.
Kim, S. (2015). ppcor: An R Package for a Fast Calculation to Semi-partial Correlation Coefficients. Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods, 22(6), 665–674. https://doi.org/10.5351/csam.2015.22.6.665
Koop, G., & Korobilis, D. (2012). Forecasting inflation using dynamic model averaging. International Economic Review, 53(3), 867–886. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2354.2012.00704.x
Mankiw, N. Gregory. 2003. Pengantar Ekonomi. Erlangga. Jakarta
Manurung, Rahardja.2004. Uang, Perbankan, dan, Ekonomi Moneter, Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia, Jakarta.
Mulyani, E. S., Sudarman, S., & Astuti, R. F. (2021). Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah (Pad) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi Kalimantan Timur Tahun 2001-2020. Educational Studies: Conference Series, 1(2), 1–10. https://doi.org/10.30872/escs.v1i2.894
Napitupulu, J. H., Ellyawati, N., & Astuti, R. F. (2021). Pengaruh Literasi Keuangan dan Sikap Keuangan Terhadap Perilaku Pengelolaan Keuangan Mahasiswa Kota Samarinda. Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi (JUPE), 9(3), 138–144. https://doi.org/10.26740/jupe.v9n3.p138-144
Nurjannah, Palangda, L., Siswanto, S. P., Abu, I., & Sutrisno. (2022). How Does Macroeconomic Variables Affect Human Development Index. Proceedings of the International Conference on Social, Economics, Business, and Education (ICSEBE 2021), 205(Icsebe 2021), 164–167. https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.220107.031Odajima, K., Aiba, D., & Khou, V. (2019). Currency Choice in Domestic Transactions by Cambodian Households : The Importance of Transaction Size and Network Externalities. 185.
Palley, T. I. (2014). Money, Fiscal Policy, and Interest Rates: A Critique of Modern Monetary Theory. Review of Political Economy, 27(1), 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1080/09538259.2014.957466
Rahim, A. A., Ellyawati, N., & Rahayu, V. P. (2021). The Effect of Regional Original Income and Balanced Funds on Regional Expenditures in East Kalimantan Province. Educational Studies: Conference Series, 1(1), 71–76. https://doi.org/10.30872/escs.v1i1.857
Safitri, J., Suyanto, S., Taolin, M. L., & Prasilowati, S. L. (2020). Inclusion of Interest Rate Risk in Credit Risk on Bank Performance: Evidence in Indonesia. Jurnal Riset Akuntansi & Perpajakan (JRAP), 7(01), 13–26. https://doi.org/10.35838/jrap.v7i01.1472
Semuel, Hatane & Nurina, S. (2015). Analysis of the Effect of Inflation , Interest Rates , and Exchange Rates on Gross Domestic Product ( GDP ) in Indonesia. Proceedings of the International Conference on Global Business, Economics, Finance and Social Science, February, 20–22.
Sukirno, Sadono. 2006 Makro Ekonomi Teori Pengantar, Edisi ketiga, Raja Grafindo Persada, Jakarta.
Sultan, M., Sunardi, S., & Abu, I. (2021). Partisipasi Masyarakat Bulukumba Dalam Pembangunan Daerah Di Kalimantan Timur. Jurnal Sosialisasi: Jurnal Hasil Pemikiran, Penelitian Dan Pengembangan Keilmuan Sosiologi Pendidikan, 7(3), 61. https://doi.org/10.26858/sosialisasi.v0i3.19790Supranto J. 2000. Statistik Teori dan Aplikasi, edisi keenam. Erlangga, Jakarta.
Thompson, C. G., Kim, R. S., Aloe, A. M., & Becker, B. J. (2017). Extracting the Variance In flation Factor and Other Multicollinearity Diagnostics from Typical Regression Results. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 39(2), 81–90. https://doi.org/10.1080/01973533.2016.1277529
Ucak, H., Ozturk, I., & Aslan, A. (2014). An examination of Fisher effect for selected new EU member states. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 4(4), 956–959.
Umaru, A., & Zubairu, A. A. (2012). Effect of Inflation on the Growth and Development of the Nigerian Economy (An Empirical Analysis). International Journal of Business and Social Science, 3(10), 183. www.ijbssnet.com
Published
2022-12-31
How to Cite
Firdaus, A. S., Reza, R., & Riyadi, R. (2022). PENGARUH JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR DAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA SERTA PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP INFLASI. Jurnal Prospek: Pendidikan Ilmu Sosial Dan Ekonomi, 4(2), 62-70. https://doi.org/10.30872/prospek.v4i2.2234
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